XRP is facing the potential of a 35% decline, with on-chain and technical metrics indicating a possible drop to the $1.35–$1.60 range. Key insights show that major investors in XRP are realizing significant profits, averaging over $68 million per day, reminiscent of the 2017 market peak. Approximately 70% of XRP's realized market cap has accumulated since late 2024, creating a market vulnerable to sharp sell-offs, especially if newer holders continue to liquidate their positions. Historical patterns suggest that as profit-taking behaviors emerge, XRP may revisit previous lows following a 90% crash similar to the aftermath of the 2017 peak. Current metrics reveal that holders who purchased after a November 2024 rally are facing near-breakeven conditions with XRP priced around $2.14, leading to concerns of increased selling pressure as they approach their breakeven levels. The realized price metrics suggest further downside risk, with potential targets around $1.50 and $1.30 based on technical analysis.

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