XRP is navigating a critical juncture, with traders estimating a nearly 64% chance of a price surge towards $4, while a 36% likelihood points to a dip back to $2. The cryptocurrency recently dropped to the $3 level after a six percent fall, which many view as a pivotal point for its future movement. The current market indicators reflect a neutral balance, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 48, implying stability, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) at 28 suggests a sustained upward trend. Despite signs of consolidation, bullish sentiment prevails due to the price remaining above key exponential moving averages. However, whale activity reveals substantial sell-offs, indicating potential corrections. As trend lines converge, XRP's capacity to hold above the pivotal $2.80 support level is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum amid external market factors that could influence sharp price changes.

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