XRP is currently facing a critical decision point at the $3 mark, with traders divided on its future direction. A recent analysis indicates that there is a 63.7% chance of XRP reaching $4 (the moon) versus a 36.3% likelihood of falling back to $2 (doom). An evaluation of technical indicators reveals a neutral Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 48, suggesting an equilibrium in trading momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) at 28 indicates a strong upward trend. The bullish short-term trend is supported by the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) staying above the 200-day EMA. However, an increase in whale outflows from exchanges raises concerns about potential corrections. The end of litigation between the SEC and Ripple, along with a high probability of XRP ETF approval, presents catalysts that could significantly impact XRP's price. In summary, while bullish signals indicate a possible rise to $3.30 or higher, significant whale activity and market volatility keep the downward scenario very much possible.

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