XRP is currently at a critical juncture, with predictions suggesting a 64% chance of the cryptocurrency rising towards $4 and a 36% likelihood of falling back to $2. Following recent inflation data, XRP's price dropped to $3—a pivotal mark for traders. Technical indicators reveal mixed signals: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48, indicating a neutral momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) at 28 confirms a strong upward trend. The configuration suggests a bullish sentiment among traders, although significant whale selling activity raises concerns about a potential drop. Current market conditions show XRP's price moving within a bullish channel supported by key exponential moving averages, which typically suggest a continuation of the upward trend unless disrupted. If the support level at $2.80 fails, negative sentiment could dominate. Therefore, while the charts slightly favor a bullish trajectory towards $4, the potential for a rapid downturn remains tangible if market conditions shift unfavorably.

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