XRP is at a critical juncture, fluctuating around the pivotal $3.00 mark after a 6.4% drop in response to hot inflation data. Traders are split on XRP's future, with a 63.7% chance of it rising to $4 (the moon scenario) versus a 36.3% probability of declining to $2 (the doom scenario). The technical indicators show mixed signals: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 48, indicating a decision phase, but the Average Directional Index (ADX) suggests a strong upward trend. Despite a temporary price consolidation, buy signals are apparent, particularly with the bullish positioning of the 50-day exponential moving average above the 200-day average. Yet, a surge in whale inflows to exchanges raises concerns about potential selling pressure. With a looming spot XRP ETF approval and the recent end of legal disputes with the SEC, various factors could sway the market dramatically. Current analyses favor the bullish moon scenario, but a failure to hold above the $2.80 support could lead to a swift downturn.

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