XRP is at a critical juncture, trading around the $3 mark, which could determine its next major movement. Traders are nearly evenly split on the token's future trajectory, with a 64% chance of it reaching $4 (moon scenario) versus a 36% chance of dropping to $2 or below (doom). Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 48, indicating a neutral market position, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) at 28 signifies a definitive upward trend. The exponential moving averages (EMAs) show a bullish pattern, suggesting buyers are likely to remain active. However, there are concerning signs, such as a spike in whale inflows to exchanges, implying potential sell-offs. Despite the resolution of the SEC lawsuit against Ripple and increasing odds of an XRP ETF approval, the market remains fragile. If XRP can break above $3.30, it may gain momentum to reach the $4 target. Conversely, if it falls below the $2.80 support, a bearish outlook becomes more plausible. Thus, while bullish indicators lead the narrative, the risk remains significant, and the outcome could be volatile.

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