Bitcoin historically follows a four-year cycle with a typical surge in price one year after its halving, followed by a significant decline. Some experts now speculate that this pattern may be shifting due to new factors, particularly the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs that have attracted institutional investors. Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst, notes that these new investors may lead to more stability and less volatility in Bitcoin's price. Following the approval of ETFs in January 2024, Bitcoin reached an all-time high and has since shown resilience amidst traditionally bearish cycles. However, analysts warn that signs of fatigue in capital inflows could indicate potential market corrections, echoing patterns observed in previous cycles. Other experts, like Nick Hansen, caution against assumptions of a fundamentally different future for Bitcoin price cycles, emphasizing the tendency for history to repeat itself.

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