Bitcoin has historically struggled in September, which is often termed ‘red September’ due to average monthly losses of –3.77% over 12 years. This pattern included six consecutive years of losses from 2017 to 2022. Despite this, Bitcoin managed to break the trend by posting gains in both 2023 and 2024. The turning point came in 2023, following a favorable court ruling regarding Grayscale's spot ETF application, which revived investor confidence. September often carries a historical burden due to regulatory setbacks, such as China's bans on cryptocurrencies and disappointing institutional adoption events in previous years. However, Bitcoin entered September 2025 with a more robust outlook, driven by the success of spot Bitcoin ETFs and improving macroeconomic conditions. The Federal Reserve has shifted its stance to a more dovish tone, which could further help Bitcoin's price stability. Analysts are optimistic that the renewed interest in Bitcoin and potential upcoming monetary policy adjustments could lead to a favorable September.

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