Bitcoin has broken a three-year streak of negative summer average returns, entering September which has historically delivered the lowest monthly returns for the asset. Known as 'red September,' this month has averaged -3.77% returns since 2013, largely due to significant regulatory events such as China’s crypto bans. However, in 2023, Bitcoin marked a turning point by posting gains in September for the second consecutive year, following a favorable ruling regarding a Bitcoin ETF by a federal appeals court. The momentum continued into 2024 with significant trading volume on newly approved spot Bitcoin ETFs. As Bitcoin approaches September 2025, conditions appear more favorable than in previous years, with bullish sentiment stemming from macroeconomic policies and speculation in the crypto industry. Historically plagued by regulatory issues, this year presents an opportunity for Bitcoin to maintain its upward trajectory as the Federal Reserve holds rates steady amid indications of a dovish policy shift.

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