57% of Kalshi bettors predict Gemini will emerge as top AI text model in 2025
A recent survey from Kalshi reveals that 57% of bettors believe Google's Gemini will be the leading AI text model by the end of 2025. This marks an increase from 48.1% just days prior, while OpenAI's ChatGPT dropped to 20% from 25.4%, and xAI's Grok fell to 15% from 18.8%. The prediction market is set to resolve on December 31, with winners receiving payouts based on their bets. Recent updates from Google have bolstered Gemini's prospects, introducing enhancements like storybook mode and improved reasoning. Conversely, OpenAI has faced criticism regarding its ChatGPT-5 rollout, and Grok has struggled with political bias perceptions, even resulting in deleted posts praising controversial figures. The competition among large language models is intensifying, especially concerning applications in internet search. Firms like Perplexity and DeepSeek are also influencing the landscape with new offerings. However, potential legal issues loom, as antitrust actions by G7 nations against major players like Google and Meta pose challenges to AI advancements in the industry.
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