Bettors on Kalshi, a prediction market, anticipate that Google's Gemini will be the leading AI text model by the end of 2025, with 57% support among users. This marks an increase from 48.1%, while OpenAI's ChatGPT has decreased to 20% and xAI's Grok to 15%. The predictions evolve alongside updates from competitors, notably Gemini's recent enhancements like storybook mode and improved reasoning capabilities. Conversely, OpenAI faced backlash over its rollout of ChatGPT-5, and xAI's Grok encountered controversy over alleged biases. The market for AI text models has intensified, with significant betting volume reaching $7.4 million. The situation is compounded by potential legal hurdles as antitrust investigations affect key players like Google and Meta. The prediction scenario will be settled by December 31, 2025, rewarding those who correctly forecast the top model.

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